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Channel: Ian Levy – FiveThirtyEight
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Breaking News: Miami Needs LeBron James on the Floor

Game 1 of the NBA Finals was a gift to headline writers and pun-lovers everywhere: The Miami Heat may have been undone by the San Antonio heat! A broken air-conditioning system left the AT&T Center...

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The Spurs Eventually Got What They Wanted in Game 2, But It Didn’t Help Them

On Sunday night, LeBron James put together a masterful performance, helping the Miami Heat defeat the San Antonio Spurs 98-96 and leveling the NBA Finals at 1-1. James finished with 35 points, 10...

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The Heat’s Whac-A-Mole Problem

Game 3 of the NBA Finals featured the San Antonio Spurs’ offense at its best. It wasn’t just its 19-point margin of victory over the Miami Heat, 111-92, that impressed, or its 41 points in the first...

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The Spurs Crush the Heat Again, But in a Different Way

Same song, different verse. The San Antonio Spurs — after defeating the Miami Heat in Game 4 of the NBA Finals on Thursday night — are one win away from a title. The score wasn’t close, 107-86 — the...

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The Spurs’ Deconstruction of the Heat Is Now Complete

For the fifth time and in one of the most dominating fashions the NBA Finals has ever seen, the San Antonio Spurs won the title on Sunday night. The Spurs beat the Miami Heat, 104-87, their third...

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2014 NBA Preview: The Lakers Are Even Worse Than They Were Last Year

After an offseason of homecoming parties, failed coups and depressing injuries, the NBA is back. To celebrate, we took each player’s projected Real Plus-Minus and wins above replacement, calculated a...

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2014 NBA Preview: The Rise Of The Warriors

The NBA season, like a Stockton-Malone pick-and-roll, always arrives on time. To prepare for the next 1,230 games (All-Star festivities excluded), we took each player’s projected Real Plus-Minus and...

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2014 NBA Preview: The Sixers Are Going Nowhere Fast

The NBA season approaches with the rolling thunder of a Shaquille O’Neal coast-to-coast dunk. We felt the footsteps coming weeks ago, and took each NBA player’s projected Real Plus-Minus and wins above...

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2014 NBA Preview: Key Offseason Pickups Should Give The Cavs A Boost

FiveThirtyEight treats the NBA’s return like Cleveland treated LeBron’s homecoming. But while the people of Ohio cheered, we spreadsheeted. To get ready for the season, we took each player’s projected...

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Does A Team Really Need A Star To Get To The NBA Finals?

You need stars to win championships. It’s one of the oldest pieces of NBA conventional wisdom, and every year it’s validated as another star leads his team to the title. So far this year the Golden...

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Kyle Korver Is On Pace For The Best NBA Shooting Season Of All Time

In the NBA, the apex of individual shooting is a 50-40-90 season — shooting 50 percent from the field, 40 percent on 3-pointers and 90 percent on free throws. Not many people can sustain that kind of...

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The Two Best Teams In The WNBA Don’t Need Threes

The top two seeds in the WNBA playoffs — the New York Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx — each face a win-or-go-home scenario Tuesday night in the third game of their best-of-three first-round series....

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2015-16 NBA Preview: Another Season, Another Garbage Heap Of A Sixers Team

We’re inaugurating our NBA player projection system, CARMELO, with 2015-16 season previews for every team in the league. Check out the teams we’ve already previewed here. Learn more about CARMELO here....

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2015-16 NBA Preview: Paul George Is Back, But The Pacers Are Still Meh

We’re inaugurating our NBA player projection system, CARMELO, with 2015-16 season previews for every team in the league. Check out the teams we’ve already previewed here. Learn more about CARMELO here....

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2015-16 NBA Preview: Can The Jazz Continue Last Season’s Surge?

We’re inaugurating our NBA player projection system, CARMELO, with 2015-16 season previews for every team in the league. Check out the teams we’ve already previewed here. Learn more about CARMELO here....

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Steph Curry Is On Pace To Hit 102 Home Runs

In an instant classic over the weekend, Stephen Curry hit a dozen 3-pointers, including the game-winner from 32 feet, while helping lead his Golden State Warriors to a 121-118 overtime win over the...

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A Website Went Offline And Took Most Of Women’s College Basketball Analytics...

If you’re filling out your bracket for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament and want some statistical background to the broader forecasts, you have a slew of options. Start at Sports-Reference.com:...

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These Are The Only 4 Teams With Any Chance Of Beating The UConn Women

As usual, the women’s NCAA Tournament this year is all about the University of Connecticut. Led by star forward Breanna Stewart, the Huskies are undefeated and chasing their fourth consecutive title, a...

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These Are The Last Three Teams That Have A Chance To Beat UConn

Only four teams remain standing in the women’s NCAA Tournament, and, as has been the case all season, one stands quite a bit taller than the rest. The UConn women won all 32 regular-season games by an...

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The Case For LeBron James, MVP

Greatness is often easier to recognize when it looks like nothing we’ve seen before. To a large degree, this is the MVP case for Russell Westbrook, James Harden and Kawhi Leonard: The first shoulders...

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